Daniele Garofalo Monitoring

Daniele Garofalo Monitoring

Eyes on Jihadism. Monitoring Jihadist Propaganda Week 25 - 31 January.

Intelligence Briefs: Issue #148

Daniele Garofalo's avatar
Daniele Garofalo
Feb 01, 2026
โˆ™ Paid

๐Ÿ”น Executive Intelligence Overview

This weekly intelligence brief documents and structures official jihadist propaganda output released between 25 and 31 January.

This weekly brief highlights regional and global trends in jihadist propaganda, emphasizing their importance to analysts and policymakers for strategic awareness.

  • Focusing on operational claims and ideological narratives across media products underscores their importance, prompting analysts to view them as critical to threat understanding.

  • organisational and geographic dispersion,

  • thematic and linguistic continuity across media products,

  • Short-term variations in output patterns.

The purpose of this brief is to support systematic monitoring and detailed activity reports, helping analysts and policymakers feel involved and confident in trend detection and data-driven follow-up products.

This publication does not include threat assessments or operational intent evaluations, which are conducted separately using methods like SIGINT, HUMINT, and OSINT to ensure clarity and focus.


๐Ÿ”น Scope of Monitoring

This issue covers all identifiable official propaganda released by selected jihadist organisations and affiliated groups during the reporting period.

The focus is strictly on documentation, classification, and structured presentation of primary-source material, enabling analytical reuse and historical comparison over time.


๐Ÿ”น Sources & Collection Methodology

The analysis is based exclusively on primary-source propaganda material, including:

  • Official magazines,

  • Videos,

  • Photo sets,

  • Statements and claims of responsibility,

  • Audio statements.

Material is collected and categorised by organisation, media outlet, and content type.

The study relies on OSINT, IMINT, SOCMINT, and Digital HUMINT collection streams.
No secondary reporting, media commentary, or interpretative overlay is applied.


๐Ÿ”น Analytical Boundaries & Limitations

Observed fluctuations in volume, language, or format are to be interpreted as monitoring signals only, helping analysts and policymakers trust the process and avoid misinterpretation.

They should not be considered, in isolation, as indicators of:

  • Strategic shifts,

  • Operational escalation,

  • Intent or capability changes.

All higher-order analytical interpretation is conducted separately within:

  • Intelligence Briefs,

  • Strategic Threat Outlooks,

  • Cognitive and Information Domain Assessments.


๐Ÿ”น Monitored Propaganda Output and Weekly Monitoring Notes

This issue includes all primary propaganda material released during the week by:

Al-Qaeda and affiliates

  • JNIM

  • Al-Shabaab

Islamic State

  • al-Nabaโ€™ (weekly issue)

  • Official IS media channels.

Independent Jihadist Groups

  • Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan

The conclusions are included in the Weekly Monitoring Notes.

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