Intelligence Brief | Eyes on Jihadism. Monitoring Jihadist Propaganda
Issue #150 - Week 9 - 15 February.
🔹 Executive Intelligence Overview
This weekly intelligence brief documents and structures official jihadist propaganda output released between 9 and 15 February, providing structured situational awareness across multiple theatres and organisations.
The product is designed to support systematic monitoring of jihadist media activity, with particular attention to:
volume and distribution of official propaganda output,
organisational and geographic dispersion across theatres,
thematic and linguistic continuity within and across media products,
The recent increase in volume from Al-Qaeda and Islamic State underscores the importance of monitoring these trends, making analysts and policymakers feel their work is vital for strategic awareness.
The brief focuses on operational claims, training-related material, and ideological messaging as observable indicators of media activity, enabling analysts to track continuity, fluctuation, and relative intensity over time. Emphasis is placed on documentation and comparability over interpretation, enabling the material to be reused for longitudinal analysis and cross-period comparisons.
This report aims to empower analysts and policymakers by providing insights into ongoing trends, encouraging a proactive stance in strategic planning and response efforts.
🔹 Scope of Monitoring
This issue covers all identifiable official propaganda released by a predefined list of jihadist organisations and affiliated groups, selected based on operational relevance and threat level, during the reporting period.
The focus is strictly on documentation, classification, and structured presentation of primary-source material, enabling analytical reuse and historical comparison over time.
🔹 Sources & Collection Methodology
The analysis is based exclusively on primary-source propaganda material, including:
Official magazines,
Videos,
Photo sets,
Statements and claims of responsibility,
Audio statements.
Material is collected and categorised by organisation, media outlet, and content type.
The study relies on OSINT, IMINT, SOCMINT, and Digital HUMINT collection streams.
No secondary reporting, media commentary, or interpretative overlay is applied.
🔹 Analytical Boundaries & Limitations
Observed fluctuations in volume, language, or format should be interpreted as monitoring signals only, indicating activity trends, and not as definitive indicators of strategic or operational shifts, thereby helping analysts contextualize data correctly.
They should not be considered in isolation as indicators of strategic shifts, operational escalation, or changes in intent and capability, emphasizing the need for comprehensive analysis within broader intelligence products.
Strategic shifts,
Operational escalation,
Intent or capability changes.
All higher-order analytical interpretation is conducted separately within:
Intelligence Briefs,
Strategic Threat Outlooks,
Cognitive and Information Domain Assessments.
🔹 Monitored Propaganda Output and Weekly Monitoring Notes
This issue includes all primary propaganda material released during the week by:
Al-Qaeda and affiliates
Al-Qaeda Central Command
JNIM
Al-Shabaab
Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent
Islamic State
al-Naba’ (weekly issue)
Official IS media channels.
Independent Jihadist Groups
Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan
People’s Fighters’ Front
The conclusions are included in the Weekly Monitoring Notes.