Security Risk Monitoring and Threat Assessment of Islamic State in Africa

Military Operations January 2025

In recent years, African areas have become increasingly important for the expansion of the Islamic State, even more so than the Middle East.

Africa must therefore be constantly monitored in order to be able to correctly assess threats and risk expansion.

In Africa, in addition to the strong activity of al-Qaeda affiliates, there are five official Islamic State provinces. This report examines and analyses the military operations of all these 5 provinces.

Date: January 2025

Method: Monitoring of jihadist propaganda (videos, photos, statements, claims) and reports from sources in the field.

Organisations/groups:

• Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP);

• Islamic State Sahel Province (IS-Sahel);

• Islamic State Central Africa Province (ISCAP);

• Islamic State Somalia Province (IS-Somalia);

• Islamic State Mozambique Province (IS-Moz).

Allied/Affiliated: Islamic State

Activity area in Africa:

• Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Cameroon, Nigeria, Somalia, DR Congo, Uganda, Mozambique.