Red Cell Notes

Red Cell Notes | Jihadist Exploitation of Interstate Conflict

War as Opportunity: How Jihadist Networks Could Exploit the US–Iran and Afghanistan–Pakistan Wars

Mar 9 • Daniele Garofalo

Red Cell Notes: Potential Weaknesses, Overextensions, and Analytical Risks

Critical Review from an Adversarial Analytical Perspective

Feb 24 • Daniele Garofalo

Red Cell Notes: Stress testing al-Qaeda's strategic communication analysis

Core Analytical Assumption Under Attack

Feb 19 • Daniele Garofalo

Red Cell Notes: Exploitation of Decentralized UAV Capability by Tech-Enabled Jihadist Actors

A strategic stress-test of Western vulnerabilities

Jan 28 • Daniele Garofalo

Red Cell Notes | Al-Qaeda’s Cognitive Warfare in the Information Environment

Blind Spots, Risks, and Strategic Miscalculation

Jan 20 • Daniele Garofalo

Red Cell Notes: If AQAP Wins the Cognitive Fight in Southern Yemen

Implications, Risks and Blind Spots for Counter-Terrorism and Stabilisation Efforts

Jan 15 • Daniele Garofalo

Executive Annual Threat Assessment | Islamic State — (2025–2026)

Operational Trajectory, Geographic Centres of Gravity, and Strategic Outlook

Jan 3 • Daniele Garofalo

Responding to Narrative-Driven, Decentralised Jihadist Threats

Policy and Strategic Implications

Dec 31, 2025 • Daniele Garofalo

A Briefer on Islamic State’s Activities Throughout Africa

In the first half of 2025, Islamic State (IS) increased its military activities and extended its control in Africa, broadening its areas of operations…

Sep 14, 2025 • Daniele Garofalo

Islamic State in Somalia: analytical complexity between counter-terrorism and propaganda.

Details and Photos of the last two Weeks

Apr 30, 2025 • Daniele Garofalo

Islamic State continues complex attacks in Somalia

Details and photos

Feb 16, 2025 • Daniele Garofalo

The Islamic State leads and claims a complex and coordinated attack in Somalia ,

Details and photos

Jan 1, 2025 • Daniele Garofalo

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