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The Africanisation of the Islamic State
Annual Operational Assessment 1447 AH: 25 June 2025 – 15 June 2026
Jul 2
•
Daniele Garofalo
3
1
Targeting Critical Infrastructure in Africa
Why Jihadist Groups Are Shifting Toward Systemic Disruption
Jun 24
•
Daniele Garofalo
1
2
JAS’s Lake Chad Resilience
The Bara Tolorom Attack and Boko Haram’s Persistent Insurgent Adaptation
Jun 22
•
Daniele Garofalo
1
2
Islamic State Global Trends: Monthly Analysis May 2026
How the Islamic State is evolving beyond the battlefield
Jun 8
•
Daniele Garofalo
3
2
Europe’s Micro-Jihadist Surge
Online Radicalization, Low-Tech Attack Readiness, and the Italian Exposure
Jun 6
•
Daniele Garofalo
3
4
The War on Mali's Lifelines
JNIM's Shift from Territorial Insurgency to Economic Coercion
Jun 1
•
Daniele Garofalo
2
1
AQAP’s Strategic Messaging Pivot
Sahel Jihad, External Operations, and the Recalibration of al-Qaeda’s Yemen Branch
May 27
•
Daniele Garofalo
1
3
Northwest Nigeria’s Emerging Hybrid Threat: Lakurawa
A growing convergence of insurgency, criminality, and jihadist influence.
May 10
•
Daniele Garofalo
2
2
Islamic State Global Trends: Monthly Analysis | April 2026
How the Islamic State is evolving beyond the battlefield
May 3
•
Daniele Garofalo
1
2
ISCAP’s Insurgency in Eastern DR Congo
Patterns of Violence and Territorial Control
Apr 29
•
Daniele Garofalo
2
JNIM–FLA Coordinated Offensive in Mali
Nationwide multi-axis operations, tactical convergence, and signalling toward Russian forces
Apr 26
•
Daniele Garofalo
5
2
Islamic State Call to Attack Jewish Targets
Immediate Threat Alert: Short-Term Operational Risk Assessment
Apr 3
•
Daniele Garofalo
1
1
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