Threat Alert - Escalation Signal

Northwest Nigeria’s Emerging Hybrid Threat: Lakurawa

A growing convergence of insurgency, criminality, and jihadist influence.

May 10 • Daniele Garofalo

Islamic State Global Trends: Monthly Analysis | April 2026

How the Islamic State is evolving beyond the battlefield

May 3 • Daniele Garofalo

ISCAP’s Insurgency in Eastern DR Congo

Patterns of Violence and Territorial Control

Apr 29 • Daniele Garofalo

JNIM–FLA Coordinated Offensive in Mali

Nationwide multi-axis operations, tactical convergence, and signalling toward Russian forces

Apr 26 • Daniele Garofalo

Islamic State Call to Attack Jewish Targets

Immediate Threat Alert: Short-Term Operational Risk Assessment

Apr 3 • Daniele Garofalo

Global Jihadist Incitement and Decentralised Mobilisation

Implications for Counter-Terrorism and Protective Security

Dec 31, 2025 • Daniele Garofalo

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