Strategic Assessments

The convergence of organized crime, hostile intelligence, facilitation networks, and transnational threats

Implications for Italian and European National Security

Aug 23 • Daniele Garofalo

The New Geography of ISCAP

Why the Islamic State Is Expanding Beyond Its Traditional Strongholds in Eastern DR Congo

Aug 3 • Daniele Garofalo

The Islamic State in the First Half of 2026

Operational Trends, Strategic Adaptation and the Evolution of Global Insurgency

Jul 29 • Daniele Garofalo

Europe's New Jihadist Threat Landscape

Intelligence Assessment of Digital Mobilisation, Behavioural Radicalisation and Low-Complexity Terrorism

Jul 20 • Daniele Garofalo

Islamic State Global Trends: Monthly Analysis June 2026

How the Islamic State Is Rebuilding Its Strategic Centre of Gravity

Jul 19 • Daniele Garofalo

Al-Shabaab and China's Strategic Exposure in the Horn of Africa

How a Somali Insurgency Threatens Regional Stability, Maritime Security and Belt and Road Interests

Jul 7 • Daniele Garofalo

The Africanisation of the Islamic State

Annual Operational Assessment 1447 AH: 25 June 2025 – 15 June 2026

Jul 2 • Daniele Garofalo

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